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Bizarre Pick-a-Winner Map effects
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I found a counterintuitive effect using the pick-a-winner map today and was wondering if anyone else found something similar.


Setup:

  • Trump: Pennsylvania

  • Biden: Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan

When you cycle through the options for New Hampshire, you get some backward results.

NH-Red Biden 69% Trump 30%

NH-Neutral Biden 57% Trump 40%

NH-Blue Biden 52% Trump 44%

It does the same thing for Maine, but I haven't noticed it with any other states. Oddly enough, it does not work when you only toggle NH, you need other states activated to do it.

Do you think this would be an error in the coding? Or am I breaking the model by feeding it contradictory information?

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4 years ago