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Perhaps this is a stupid question and I donโt know what Iโm talking about, but polls are showing that Virginia has Harris ahead by only 3 points, much closer than in 2016 and 2020. Yet 538โs projection seems fairly confident that it will be a Harris victory in Virginia. Is there something Iโm missing?
Virginia has become a reliable blue state. It elects Republican governors, but you can't be too conservative and get elected there anymore.
Harris doesn't have issues there. It's a safe state. If she were to have issues there, the discussion wouldn't be about whether she'd win or lose, but how big Trump's margin of victory would be.
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