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Pennsylvania is 3x as likely to be the tipping-point state as Michigan
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dtarias is in Pennsylvania
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Nate Silver on Twitter

Shapiro's looking like a strong VP pick!

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It's been a long time since a VP pick was chosen for swing state potential. Mondale, HW, Gore, Cheney, Biden, and Pence were put on the ticket to balance the presidential nominee in some way.

You'd have to go back to Kennedy choosing LBJ. Texas was decided by about 46,000 votes. And you can be sure LBJ helped get that in Kennedy's column. Illinois was decided by around 8,800 votes (another state controlled by a political boss). If Nixon won those two, he wins the election with 270.

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3 months ago