To Turkey (but Russia knows for context),

We realize that prior diplomatic alignment might make you pre-disposed towards supporting the Arabs in the ongoing war. You have expressed support for the Arabs at least once and you are supposedly still in the German sphere organization thing that doesn't really do much. However, one thing supersedes all of that: your national sovereignty. Your long term interests revolve primarily around retaining your hold over Syria and your influence in the region. Let's take a look at two scenarios:

1. You do nothing and the Arabs inevitably win.

ADIR, as the combatant with the most land held in geographical Palestine by far, will likely set up a one state solution with an effectively puppet government that will serve its own interests. ADIR, with no real threats (EAF would get double teamed if they get anywhere near it), will be free to rule as the undisputed controller of lands from Casablanca to the Golan Heights. This is bad. ADIR, and most if not all prominent political parties in it, is pan-arabist. Hell, their existence is pan-arabist, with 90% of the population holding Pan-arabist or pan-islamic views leading to their referendum. This is an irreconcilable threat to your nation's existence. If not Turkey being included in this dream, Syria definitely will be, and giving up Syria is not an option for a country as nationalistic as yours.

Worse yet, ADIR and RIGS will be the undisputed top dogs in the region. As allies with Iran, they will probably go after you no matter what. Even if they don't, their combined leverage fresh off of a military victory will push away any hopes of Turkish influence in the middle east.

2. You intervene and the Arabs inevitably lose.

Since both ADIR and RIGS practically lost half of their militaries overnight, continue to be involved in heavy guerilla and conventional warfare, and have shoddy logistical problems as is, a conventional military intervention backed by Russia and the USA will have guaranteed success. We propose that Turkish, South Asian, and Russian forces deploy into Israel (with air force basing from Turkey due to logistics), and offer an ultimatum to get the Arabs to withdraw from Israel under status quo antebellum borders, which they will accept or literally die. Let's take a look at the status of each country then:

1. ADIR: Not a threat since half their army is gone, Israel will be a grateful ally and counterbalance any threats in the region (or at the very least serve as a roadblock for the next time they come over). Diplomatic prestige and influence will be nil as they both committed war crimes and lost while doing so.

2. RIGS: Ditto as before.

3. Persia: Literally a joke, they almost got overthrown like two months ago.

4. Israel: Militarily weakened and dependent on Turkey for basic humanitarian aid most likely. Foreign policy inevitibly based around taking revenge on ADIR and RIGS for commiting so many war crimes. Will have to make political concessions as part of deal, including a free Palestine occupied by Turkey most likely.

This leaves Turkey with the best position by far in the entire Middle-east with its sovereignty secure, military undamaged, and prestige unlost. It will never have to send troops in a war again, all for the price of one diplomatic re-alignment and the potential for war (which they will most likely decline). Israel would probably even give you the Golan Heights (or you can just take it whatever)

To Russia,

Would you be willing to deploy through Turkey to protect Israeli sovereignty and prevent war crimes as lifted above?

We look forward to your response.