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So the US fed will announce whether or not it will increase the target interest rate on December 14th. Usually this means that the equity markets will fall temporarily since borrowing money is that much more expensive.
It seems to me that the market is almost pricing in no rate hike at this point though. This seems odd to me considering that back in September, even the suggestion that there might be a rate hike soon brought the markets down 5%. Now the odds for a hike are even higher, yet we just keep on going up.
Am I just severely overestimating the effect of a rate hike on the markets? Or does everyone actually believe that there is probably no hike coming?
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