Here's how the HEX works out going forward (please correct my math if I'm way off). I'm only concerned with the middle 3 teams as Mexico is already qualified, Costa Rica needs just 1 draw to clinch a top 3 spot, and Trinidad would need a miracle (like scoring 15 goals and winning their next two games to end 4th)

USA plays Panama and Trinidad

HONDURAS plays Mexico and Costa Rica

PANAMA plays USA and Costa Rica

The USMNT, by far, has the easiest remaining fixtures (possibly even more so if Trindad is already mathematically eliminated by our last game and has "nothing left to play for")

If we win both our games we will end up with 15 points and at least a 3 GD

• end up 3rd (if Honduras draws or loses either game)
• end up 4th (if Honduras wins both games and scores at least 11 goals)

If we draw Panama and win against Trinidad we end with 13 points and at least a 2 GD

• end up 3rd (if Panama also loses to Costa Rica)
• end up 4th (if Panama beats Costa Rica)
• end up 4th (if Panama loses to Costa Rica and Honduras beats Mexico and Costa Rica)
• end up 5th (if Honduras beats Mexico and Costa Rica and Panama beats Costa Rica)

If we lose to Panama and win against Trinidad we end with 12 points

• end up 4th (if Honduras loses at least 1 of their 2 games and has a lower GD than us)

If we draw both Panama and Trinidad we would have 11 points with a 1 GD.

• We could still end up 4th (if Honduras draws or loses both games).

If we lose both Panama and Trinidad we would have 9 points.

• We could still end up 4th (If Honduras loses both of their games and Trinidad loses or draws their other game)

So... even if we lose out the rest of the games we could still limp into the playoff spot. And then lose that tie to be out completely.