Coming soon - Get a detailed view of why an account is flagged as spam!
view details

This post has been de-listed

It is no longer included in search results and normal feeds (front page, hot posts, subreddit posts, etc). It remains visible only via the author's post history.

9
NVAX, ready to crash and burn or set up for an epic short squeeze?
Post Flair (click to view more posts with a particular flair)
Post Body

Novavax has pivotal phase 3 results coming up by Sept 30th regarding their RSV vaccine in the elderly. Phase 2 showed statistically significant benefits witha p value of .041. That was 1600 patients. The phase 3 study has 11,000 patients so if this vaccine works, they should see it with the number of patients they have.

The problem is, there are a ton of shorts on this stock right now with 62.5 million shares short. Meaning a lot of people are betting that it's going to fail.

So if phase 3 results don't look great, it's going to drop... a lot.

If the results are good, it's going to skyrocket and continue to go up as the shorts cover for an epic short squeeze.

I'm in for 500 shares right now and January calls at a $10 strike price. This is a high risk, high reward play and the question is whether or not to hold through results or ride it up as it goes through september(if it goes up) and sell before results. The other thing to consider is that if they have good results, they are a huge buyout target for some of the big pharma companies as this could be a multi-billion dollar per year vaccine.

Anyone else in NVAX or have an opinion one way or the other?

Author
Account Strength
100%
Account Age
12 years
Verified Email
Yes
Verified Flair
No
Total Karma
15,107
Link Karma
1,002
Comment Karma
13,797
Profile updated: 2 days ago
Posts updated: 1 year ago

Subreddit

Post Details

We try to extract some basic information from the post title. This is not always successful or accurate, please use your best judgement and compare these values to the post title and body for confirmation.
Posted
8 years ago