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Hey, I'm a newbie and I've been trying to calculate pythag expectations for NHL in spreadsheets. Basic formula being
Winning% =GF^y/(GF^y GA^y)
The problem is my results are saying almost all the teams are overperforming by many percentage points. I've tried fiddling with different exponent y variables but nothing seems to change it. Anyone with experience using pythag for NHL?? Is the game too luck-reliant to use this method?? If that's the case though why are they consistently overperforming and not randomly above/below my results? Would appreciate some guidance
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