Coming soon - Get a detailed view of why an account is flagged as spam!
view details

This post has been de-listed

It is no longer included in search results and normal feeds (front page, hot posts, subreddit posts, etc). It remains visible only via the author's post history.

1
Question on stats regarding late game at-bats.
Post Body

So, this is something I've always wondered if there are stats about, but I am not sure how exactly to search for this online. Figure I'll ask it here and see if the fine folks of Reddit can answer.

When a batter has a plate appearance in a tight spot late in a game, with runners in scoring position, I tend to be pessimistic when the batter already has two or more hits in the game. It seems just by the law of averages that he's less likely to get a hit, since collecting three or more hits in a game is not a normal thing for most players.

For example, game is tied in the ninth inning. I'll use the Brewers since I'm a fan. There's a guy on 2nd base and two outs. Jonathan Lucroy comes up to bat, having gone 0-4 the rest of that day. Following him is Carlos Gomez, who has gone 3-4.

Lucroy and Gomez are both good for around a .300 average or so, and are talented hitters. So in theory, it seems very unlikely that Lucroy would have an 0-5 night, and equally unlikely that Gomez would hit 4-5.

Would there be any merit for the opposing manager in this situation to walk Lucroy to pitch to Gomez based solely on this (not taking matchups and such in to account)? Are there any statistics for situations like this? Just something I've wondered for a long time and haven't been able to ask. Thank you in advance :)

Author
Account Strength
100%
Account Age
15 years
Verified Email
Yes
Verified Flair
No
Total Karma
110,064
Link Karma
4,326
Comment Karma
105,710
Profile updated: 1 day ago
Posts updated: 7 months ago

Subreddit

Post Details

We try to extract some basic information from the post title. This is not always successful or accurate, please use your best judgement and compare these values to the post title and body for confirmation.
Posted
10 years ago