*weighting.

Hi friends. Consider the following scenario:

Site A has given me 100% deposit match on $100, so I’ve got $200 to gamble with and bonus stake not returned. Assume exact 1:9 odds.

Site B of course is Betfair. Assume exact 9:1 odds.

After calculating fees should the lay bet on Betfair win, should my bet be identical to guarantee I make the same amount regardless of the winner, or should I bet so the return from Betfair would be 90% higher than the return from Site A, since it is approximately 9 times more likely to happen?

Would this not take me from a A 90% chance to make $22 / 10% chance to make $22 (EV $22), to a 90% chance to make $39.60 and a 10% chance to make $4.40 (EV $36.08?)?

Cheers