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There are 8 possible draws for the last day of swiss stage
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This assumes that WBG wins against FNC and TL wins against GAM.

If the above happens then

  1. TL and G2 can't play against WBG
  2. FLY can't play against DWG

Now, we only have 8 scenarios for the draw and they are:

1.
BLG vs DWG
FLY vs WBG
TL vs G2

2.
BLG vs FLY
DWG vs WBG
TL vs G2

3.
BLG vs TL
DWG vs WBG
FLY vs G2

4.
BLG vs TL
DWG vs G2
FLY vs WBG

5.
BLG vs WBG
DWG vs TL
FLY vs G2

6.
BLG vs WBG
DWG vs G2
FLY vs TL

7.
BLG vs G2
DWG vs TL
FLY vs WBG

8.
BLG vs G2
DWG vs WBG
FLY vs TL 

As you can see this leads to some interesting draws,

notably for FLY they have a good chance to dodge BLG because of their match ups:
FLY vs WBG (3 times).
FLY vs G2 (2 times)
FLY vs TL (2 times)
FLY vs BLG (1 time)

BLG are more likely to face G2,TL and WBG:
BLG vs DWG (1 time)
BLG vs FLY (1 time)
BLG vs TL (2 times)
BLG vs WBG (2 times)
BLG vs G2 (2 times)

DWG also has a similar draw to FLY:
DWG vs WBG (3 times)
DWG vs G2 (2 times)
DWG vs TL (2 times)
DWG vs BLG (1 time)

here's WBG:
WBG vs FLY (3 times)
WBG vs DWG (3 times)
WBG vs BLG (2 times)

finally, G2 and TL have an equal probability to face any of their opponents.

Edit: Scenario 8 IT IS, fly was lucky indeed

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If they make it out without beating an eastern team it'll be just as lame tbh, especially if it ends up Na vs Na

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Posted
3 months ago