Apple Pencil 2nd generation refurb

Hi all, I’m wanting to buy the Apple Pencil but to try and save money I’m wanting to buy it through the Apple refurb shop. It’s been out of stock for sometime now so just wondering if anyone knows how likely it is that they may have it in stock again, maybe based on past trends (if any has been observed).

I do understand it maybe a guessing game as to when it may have in stock but just thought I’d check to see if anyone has any know how or if i may as well just bite the bullet and grab the pencil new.

(Ps, don’t really want to go to other places to buy a refurb pencil due to a few posts I’ve seen where it hasn’t been a genuine Apple Pencil but if there any recommended places no orbs if you want to let me know - based in uk for info).

Thanks all in advance though!