There are acurrently two active prediction markets on Gnosis: The first market on the Augur crowd sale and more recent market on the difficulty at block 160k the (https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/3ikcmr/what_will_be_the_difficulty_on_block_160000/).

So far the difficulty market is way more popular with >70 trades in the last 24h. - Our first thoughts are that it resovles sooner (the next 6 hours) and it might be easier to understand the payouts (0 or 1) compared to the long/short share. (and the graph is nicer :))

Anyway, we are thinking about what market to add next. We would like to make a „dependent“ market - so something in the form of: What is the likelihood of X if A happens before. And: "What is the likelihood of X if B happens before.“ And also a market for A vs. B.

A future example would be: What is the likelihood of the democrats winning the 2016 election as X. And A and B are: Trump becomes the Republican candidate, Trump does not become the Republican. candidate.

Another example (for a long term resolvement) would be price of Bitcoin based on the condition if block size limit increase vs. the price of Bitcoin with no block limit increase.

We are really looking forward to creating those markets but currently we need something more short term (2-14 days)

TL;DR: We want to hear from our users! Any ideas for a new market that can end in the next 2-14 days? Or any other suggestions for markets to get Gnosis started? ~We acknowledge that unlocking an RPC node is a vulnerability. Please do not play (or open an RPC node) with more than you are willing to lose.

EDIT:
PLEASE READ: remember we are in ALPHA

The best solution for using Gnosis at the moment is to open a geth rpc node with a coinbase that only contains as much as you are willing to lose. Do not unlock the account until right before you make a purchase. In your RPC terminal (if you don't have one running use geth attach ) type;

 personal.unlockAccount(eth.coinbase, ‘Password’, 30) 

Then place your bet within 30 seconds. This is not the best solution but we are working on a better one. Stay tuned for more updates!