For the past four days, BitFury BTCC has been 29%. An activation condition of 75% ensures that we'll never fork with a minority... but can still overcome, just by random chance over a long enough time, obstruction in the form of 26%~30%. However...
If we took the trolls seriously and actually activates at 90%, a single malicious actor (BitFury) can block the fork for a long time, and almost indefinitely with a helper. Keep in mind that BitFury is not a pool, it's a completely centralized mining outfit that has zero worry about losing miners. A single guy who's doing insider trading at this company can wreck any hopes for Bitcoin to move forward.
Of course, ideally, we should have a less centralized mining scene and this won't be an issue, but this is what we got here.
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