Welcome one and all to the latest Box Office Pro vs r/BoxOffice competition! This week, we've decided to look at the upcoming film "The New Mutants".

• What will its 3-day opening weekend be?
• How about its domestic total?
• And its worldwide total?

It's appreciated that you do all three, but it's not required.

As always, I'm going to be averaging out the top 3 voted answers and treating that as our official Reddit estimate. So I encourage you to upvote and downvote answers based on which ones you agree with. Additionally, if you have any ideas for tweaks to the format, you are welcome to suggest them, and I will take them into consideration.

Last week, we predicted "Mulan", arriving at the following consensus figures based on the 3 predictions with the most total points:

• $105 million domestic OW
• $358.3 million domestic total
• $1.042 billion worldwide total

For comparison, Box Office Pro is calling for a $46 million domestic OW and a $132 million domestic total. That would add up to approximately $384 million worldwide, using our consensus 34.4/65.6 domestic/international split.

A difference of this magnitude (the biggest during my tenure, at least) obviously merits further comment than usual. First off, there was markedly less consensus than usual on our end, with no prediction exceeding 20 points despite last week's edition staying announced for almost a week. Likewise, the highest worldwide total prediction was 2.5x the lowest, a remarkable gap when we're talking about several hundreds of millions of dollars.

However, only the lowest couple of predictions were even batting in the same ballpark as BOP. Part of the equation is an expected breakout in China, though our consensus split seems to reflect some dissension due to the Coronavirus situation - and perhaps a few people considered that this "Mulan" probably won't be huge in parts of the world with negligible East Asian populations, due to its vast differences from the original movie. More interesting still was a couple of late comments by /u/cubekwing about much more pessimistic pre-Coronavirus predictions by Chinese box office aficionados for its box office there, on the order of $150-200M.

The last important piece of the puzzle is what appears to have been a difference in domestic predicting philosophy. We think a radically different take on a (supposedly) beloved Disney Renaissance movie will prove to be just what the doctor ordered, whereas BOP holds the opinion that the new "Mulan's" changes will instead serve to alienate such fans without really drawing general audiences. I'm personally inclined to think the truth will be somewhere in the middle.