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Box Office Pro vs r/BoxOffice Competition: "Sonic the Hedgehog"
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Welcome one and all to the latest Box Office Pro vs r/BoxOffice competition! This week, we've decided to look at the upcoming film "Sonic the Hedgehog".

  • What will its 3-day opening weekend be?
  • How about its domestic total?
  • And its worldwide total?

It's appreciated that you do all three, but it's not required.

As always, I'm going to be averaging out the top 3 voted answers and treating that as our official Reddit estimate. So I encourage you to upvote and downvote answers based on which ones you agree with. Additionally, if you have any ideas for tweaks to the format, you are welcome to suggest them, and I will take them into consideration.


Last week, we predicted "Birds of Prey", arriving at the following consensus figures based on the 3 predictions with the most total points:

  • $67.7 million domestic OW
  • $210 million domestic total
  • $516.7 million worldwide total

For comparison, Box Office Pro is calling for a $49 million domestic OW and a $125 million domestic total. That would add up to approximately $307.5 million worldwide, using our consensus 40.5/59.5 domestic/international split.

Other comments about last week:

  • I was pleased to see the DC Cycle continue last week. Starting with Justice League, said cycle has gone like this: one DC movie underperforms its lofty predictions, so we lowball the next one. That next movie shatters expectations, so we're quick to avoid underestimating its successor, only for said movie to noticeably miss forecasts and further perpetuate the cycle, and so on.
  • Case in point, none of last week's predictions at or below $60 million for "Birds of Prey's" domestic OW or $450 million for its worldwide total (a combined 8/30) finished karma-positive. For what it's worth, I currently find myself in close agreement with BOP and a few of the lower-end forecasts in last week's thread.

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5 years ago