Welcome one and all to the latest Box Office Pro vs r/BoxOffice competition! This week, we've decided to look at the upcoming film "Black and Blue".
- What will its 3-day opening weekend be?
- How about its domestic total?
- And its worldwide total?
It's appreciated that you do all three, but it's not required.
As always, I'm going to be averaging out the top 3 voted answers and treating that as our official Reddit estimate. So I encourage you to upvote and downvote answers based on which ones you agree with. However, if you have any ideas for tweaks to the format, you are welcome to suggest them, and I will take them into consideration.
Last week, we predicted "Maleficent: Mistress of Evil", arriving at the following consensus figures based on the 3 predictions with the most total points:
- $62.3 million domestic OW
- $190 million domestic total
- $620 million worldwide total
For comparison, Box Office Pro is calling for a $37 million domestic OW and a $110 million domestic total. That would add up to approximately $359 million worldwide, using our consensus 31/69 domestic/international split.
Some miscellaneous trivia about last week's results:
- r/BoxOffice deemed my prediction best for the third consecutive week, but by a much narrower 3-point margin this time. In fact, five predictions this time had 8 or more points, while another four had 4-7 points.
- Despite the lack of consensus about the individual predictions themselves, they weren't as different as I would have expected from one of the biggest wildcards of the rest of the year. In terms of domestic openings, only 3/23 called for it to exceed the first movie, while just 2/23 are expecting less than BOP's prediction.
- We're collectively down on sub-$400 million worldwide predictions for "Mistress of Evil", that figure being about what it needs to avoid flop status. That makes sense in light of Disney's phenomenal success to date this year, though I'm maybe not the best person to remind us that different movies function differently, even with the same studio and distributor.
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