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After a couple months of the pandemic, can we know which epidemiological models have performed 'well'?
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Fivethirtyeight currently aggregates 15(!) different COVID models for the U.S., which often give pretty different projections. I understand that just judging the numbers is mostly pointless due to sudden changes in lockdowns and societal behaviors and tweaks to the models themselves, but at this point can we conclude anything about the quality of different models?
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