Looking for a shakedown for a 3 night, 3.5 day Outer Mountain Loop trip in February. I m hiking with a partner and we will be sharing a shelter and most supplies other than sleep system, cook pot, and clothing, so that will also help lighten the load.

Lighterpack: https://lighterpack.com/r/21q6ka

Budget: Not a hard budget but I'd rather not spend more than $200 on improving my gear for this trip. Open to spend more for something that would be a significant upgrade for trips in all kinds of other locations/conditions. E.g., maybe upgrading to something like a kakwa or mariposa pack would be good for this and also be an upgrade for a cold weather hike with 8 days of food in a bear can that might be worth it.

Additional info: 

1. I'd love thoughts on packs. A big concern is that I am going to have to carry a lot of water, probably at least 16 lbs the first day. This is why I'm taking the heavy-duty pack. The Gregory is heavy but quite comfortable at high weight. My usual pack is a crown3 (2.5 lbs) but I don't think it can handle the water weight.
2. I know my emergency/repair kit is a heavier than average. I'll keep working on trimming it down but I'd really rather be prepared than not. I'm taking small quantities of almost everything in there (e.g., 10 aspirin as opposed to a bottle, a few feet of leukotape on a straw, mini duct tape, etc.). Same goes for the compass, map, frog toggs, etc. I'm open to considering anything but my inclination is I'd rather carry the weight than risk disaster.
3. I might skip red tar items. My usual MO is sawyer squeeze for water, bidet for bathroom, and soap water for cleaning. However, for this trip I will probably only get one on-trail water refill, so maybe it's best to just rely on potable aqua for the water refill, TP/wipes for bathroom, and purell for disinfecting and not carry the soap, bidet or filter?
4. Carried clothing will depend on conditions and weather forecast, would appreciate ideas. Even in the best conditions I'm not a "skip the raincoat" kind of guy, but I could see ditching the puffy and just relying on the alpha rain coat shell for warmth. Similarly, I'm toying with the idea of skipping the raincoat for a wind shirt and maybe taking an emergency poncho or just relying on tarp if it rains.

Happy to answer any questions. Thanks!