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One important reason supply isn’t going up
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Obviously lack of supply and low mortgage rates are locking people in. But another huge reason is remote work. I changed jobs recently and I only looked at full remote so that I would not lose our mortgage rate. It is essentially a difference of 30k a year in salary and I would need a huge step raise to warrant a move. As places start to require people to come back to the office you may see more supply as more people are forced to relocate if they want to progress in their career.
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