If Democrats are going to (try) to defy historical trends in the 2022 Midterms and maintain their House Majority (as unlikely as that may be due to history) what is the one seat the need to go all out to defend (if you could only choose 1)?

This is based on how competitive the district is and how good/effective the Congressmember is.

As we all know, Democrats flipped a ton of seats in 2018, but then narrowly held on to the majority in 2020, while barely winning in a lot of key races. People like Lauren Underwood, Abigail Spandberger, Connor Lamb, Cindy Axne, Colin Allred, etc all came very close to losing their races. Then you have people like Jared Golden who represents a Trump stronghold in Maines 2nd district.

All these members have made a name for themselves for all different reasons and because they represent districts that were favorable to republicans but flipped at the end of decade, where it’s not clear in some of them if it was because of the district becoming more liberal, them being the right legislator to flip Republicans minds, or if it was just a general backlash to Trump and not an endorsement of Democratic policies.

Most of them (sans Lauren Underwood) are pretty moderate so they can win in their district and properly represent their constituents, but who do you think is the most important to defend, based on what future roles they have in Congress and what future they have going forward of the mainstream of the Democratic Party?