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There has been some talk that Biden's handling of the war is causing a lot of Muslims and Muslim groups to openly say they will not support Biden's reelection with some numbers showing significant dissatisfaction.
For context,
Pennsylvania: Biden won by around 81,000 votes.
Michigan: Biden won by around 154,000 votes.
Wisconsin: Biden won by around 20,000 votes.
Georgia: Biden won by around 10,000 votes.
Arizona: Biden won by around 10,000 votes.
These are roughly the number of Muslims in the following states:
Michigan: 250,000
Pennsylvania: 150,000
Wisconsin: 68,000
Georgia: 123,000
Arizona: 109,000
If we compare:
Michigan:
Muslim Population: 250,000
Margin of Victory (Biden): Approximately 154,000 votes
Pennsylvania:
Muslim Population: 150,000
Margin of Victory (Biden): Approximately 81,000 votes
Wisconsin:
Muslim Population: 68,000
Margin of Victory (Biden): Approximately 20,000 votes
Georgia:
Muslim Population: 123,000
Margin of Victory (Biden): Approximately 12,000 votes
Arizona:
Muslim Population: 109,000
Margin of Victory (Biden): Approximately 10,000 votes
Muslims in the US, especially with the last few elections, have generally voted largely democrat. Of course, it's important to note that voting behavior is influenced by a wide range of factors and it is an assumption to assume voting patterns.
However, looking at the numbers and perhaps some of the sentiment we're seeing, could this pose a problem for Biden's reelection? Or is there not much to worry about?
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Threatening voters works a lot less well than people seem to think it does.