Coalition best-placed to win election, despite poll slump

^{BY JAMES JAMESONSON}

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The Liberal and National parties are best-placed to win the upcoming election, despite the Liberals suffering a -2.16% slump in their primary vote, and a -2% drop in the two-party-preferred (TPP) result. The Liberals and Nationals are currently polling at 24.28% and 21.07% ( 1.99%) respectively, holding 55.67% of the TPP.

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HAPPY: The Prime Minister is expected to retain his position if current polling trends continue

The newly-established Australian Labor Party has seen a -2.23% swing against it, now polling at 16.10%. However it remains the third highest-polling party. The SDP has enjoyed a sizable 4.07% bump, now polling at 15.29%, but still less than 'independent/other'.

The United Democrats and the Country Liberals are polling at 5.56% (-0.91%) and 2.92% ( 0.28%) respectively.

However, these polling results may not actually reflect how individual seats vote come election day. Polling for five electorates as well as the Senate can reveal that the SDP are at risk of losing three seats they currently hold, including party leader u/MattMonti's seat of Mayo.

u/NGSpy's seat of Pearce and former SDP leader u/Youmaton's seat of Canberra are the two other seats which may also fall, both to the National Party.

Former United Democrats Minister and SDP candidate for Robertson, u/JaydenDaGamer15, was quick to point at the Liberals' declining vote on Twitter, saying 'To all the Liberals that are saying the people want them: You're going down in the polls, the SDP is going up, we're just showing that the people are starting to want the SDP, not the Libs'.

There is still one week to go until Australians head to the polls, and as former British Prime Minister Harold Wilson once famously said, 'a week is a long time in politics'.