Note: These polls include all posts made on the second day of campaigning, as well as manifestos.

Party vote

"If the next New Zealand general election were held today, for which party would you cast your party vote?"

Seat projections assume electorates won as in this poll.

Commentary: Basically the same as yesterday. National's campaign continues to be not all that inspiring, and frankly could probably be bowled over by a half-decent effort from anyone else, but we just haven't gotten that. National may not have really done much quality control but if no other parties try they don't really need to.

Electorate vote

"If the next New Zealand general election were held today, for which candidate in your local electorate would you cast your electorate vote?"\

Auckland

Commentary: eelsemaj99 putting some effort with his campaign post helps him in the polls. Not a lost race for lily-irl by any means, with a good post she could easily jump back into the lead.

Rohe

Commentary: Some signs of life from Maaaaaaaadison help her expand her lead slightly. Bit surprised National hasn't put in more effort here.

Methodology

Sample size: 1000 eligible voters

Margin of error: ±3% for a result around 50%

Fieldwork day: 27 July 2022