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Party vote and preferred PM polling | 22 July 2022
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Party vote

"If the next New Zealand general election were held today, for which party would you cast your party vote?"

Seat projections presume no change in electorates.

Party % support /- Seats
ACT 35.0% -0.4% 5
Labour 26.4% -1.5% 3
National 24.1% 0.7% 3
Alliance 14.6% 1.3% 2

Preferred PM

"Thinking about all New Zealand politicians, which would you prefer to be Prime Minister?"

Politician Party % support /-
Lady_Aya ACT 29% -1%
model-frod Labour 20% -
superpacman04 National 16% 1%
Frost_Walker2017 ACT 9% -1%
TheTrashMan_10 Alliance 10% 1%
lily-irl Labour 5% -
MLastCelebration National 5% -

Two-party-preferred PM

“Between ACT party leader Lady_Aya and the Leader of the Opposition, model-frod, which would you prefer to be Prime Minister?”

Politician Party % support /-
Lady_Aya ACT 59% -
model-frod Labour 41% -

Methodology

Sample size: 1000 eligible voters

Margin of error: ±3% for a result around 50%

Fieldwork day: 22 July 2022


Feedback

ACT: A slight decline this week more suggests that you've kind of topped out, but could use some slightly more quality debate contributions and some press activity. That being said, still doing pretty well.

Labour: I'm genuinely kind of shocked you managed to go down in budget week, but your activity this week outside of the budget consisted only of a deeply underwhelming QT contribution, so that's what you get. Could've been worse, though.

National: Actually eclipsed ACT in activity this week, and generally doing pretty strong across the board. Could use some more legislation, but this is a pretty good position leading into the election.

Alliance: Yes, you increased this week, but frankly during budget week that's to be expected. After three weeks of continual decreases, you were liable to benefit from budget week, but you're still in a very distant last and did nothing this week outside of QT. Fair chance you'd be sub-10% without the budget, and if you don't get your act together you'll be there by election day.

Feel free to ask me any questions about these poll results if you have any!

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