Party vote

"If the next New Zealand general election were held today, for which party would you cast your party vote?"

Seat projections presume no change in electorates.

Preferred PM

"Thinking about all New Zealand politicians, which would you prefer to be Prime Minister?"

Two-party-preferred PM

“Between ACT party leader Lady_Aya and the Leader of the Opposition, model-frod, which would you prefer to be Prime Minister?”

Methodology

Sample size: 1000 eligible voters

Margin of error: ±3% for a result around 50%

Fieldwork day: 2 July 2022

Feedback

First things first -- yes, the results here look a little weird. I fixed a bug from last week's poll that put Labour too low and the Nats a bit too high. I'd advise you to focus less on the numbers here and more on my feedback, as if things continue as they are now, Labour won't keep rising and the Nats won't keep dropping.

ACT: Nice work in all fronts. Active in QT, debates, and legislation. Could afford to see some more press activity, but you're still dominating.

National: Good showing at Question Time and in debates, but where your party stands to gain is in legislation and the press. Still doing pretty well though (ignore this week's loss) and if you keep going like this you'll be in a good place for the next election.

Labour: An OK showing at Question Time, but almost nothing else this week. You will lose for the next week and the week after if you continue like this.

Alliance: Basically same as Labour here, except your freefall has already begun. Basically more activity in any and all channels needed, otherwise it will continue. You need more than just Question Time.

Feel free to ask me any questions about these poll results if you have any!