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So this post is sparked by a lot of what I haven't just seen here, but in various /r/nba discussions. Mainly to do with how players are going to get overpayed this summer, Chandler Parsons being a prime example.
By next summer the cap is projected to go from 70 million this last year to 108 million. That's more than a 50% raise in two years. 22.5 million in 2017-18 will be worth 20% of the cap. Parsons' contract in his first year and second year with the Mavs was 22% and 21.4% respectively. If Parsons maxed out this year he'd be effectively cheaper the last three years (assuming the cap, at the very least holds steady) then he has been the last two. This goes for every guy that signs this year. The cap could easily balloon another 30 million dollars in two more summers. (Incidentally Wes Matthews contract also gets a little better with each year).
Just to, again, impress how much the cap is going up. In five years we could see the cap go from 63 million in '14-'15 to potentially 120 million in 18-'19. WHAT. THE. FUCK.
So I don't think there should be much fear for "overpaying," based on how much of the cap players will take. The only fear is whether or not a guy like Conley or Parsons or Whiteside et al. can produce as major pillars of an organization and be healthy. Personally, I want Parsons back. I think the fact that he had a two month stretch where he was shooting over 50% and that he was our most efficient three point shooter all on a year coming back from microfracture spells good things. That and the dude genuinely likes Dallas, has expressed wanting to be a foundation piece here. If the Mavs don't want to give him the max because of injury concerns I get it. It's a business decision.
But I'm not faulting the guy for opting out and wanting to get a long term deal. That too, is a business decision.
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