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7
National Opinion Polling - 2nd August
Post Body
Question: If the General Election were held today, who would you vote for?
Polls conducted between the 16th July and the 2nd August (debates finishing during this period).
Party | 15th July % | 2nd August % | % Change | Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative Party | 28.83 | 30.09 | 1.25 | |
Libertarian Party UK | 23.98 | 23.99 | 0.01 | Up 1 |
Labour Party | 24.99 | 23.39 | -1.60 | Down 1 |
Liberal Democrats | 11.70 | 12.73 | 1.03 | |
The People's Movement | 4.05 | 4.30 | 0.25 | |
Democratic Reformist Front | 2.87 | 2.35 | -0.52 | |
People's Unity Party | 2.40 | 2.17 | -0.23 | |
Other | 1.18 | 0.99 | -0.19 |
Notes:
- Well done to the Tories, building off their gain from last week with a decent last push of some nice legislation, press and squeezing out the last few Government actions of the term to tip them over that 30% mark going into the election. They should be pleased.
- LPUK a nice hold in a competitive week, boosted by a term of consistently impressive turnout in the division lobbies. I imagine they'll also be quite pleased with this because...
- Labour unfortunately dropping to 3rd this week. Members defecting and leaving, activity plummeting, and no obvious indications of how leadership will take control of the situation. They'll need a dramatic turn-around in most aspects of the party to slow this freefall of the last month.
- LDs a really great week, especially for a party your size. If every week this term had been this good we could really see the LDs playing with the Big 3. As it is, this push has come a little late, but I'm optimistic we'll see great things from them this election.
- TPM some nice press and legislation, continuing to shine distinctly above the other minor parties, this feels like a fair representation of the party in its current state.
- DRF still very unclear where their leader has gone, activity down across the board. Not actually as bad a week as "-0.52" might suggest, but unfortunately most parties were making a final push pre-election and there was really nothing to match that here.
- I'm a little disappointed to see the PUP's climb stop so soon, but we simply need a bit more of everything across the board in WM if you want to match your impressive climbs in the devolved regions.
Enjoy the election!
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