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National Opinion Polling - 17th June
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Question: If the General Election were held today, who would you vote for?

Polls conducted between the 4th June and the 17th June (debates finishing during this period).

Party 3rd June % 17th June % % Change Change
Conservative Party 27.73 27.46 -0.28
Labour Party 26.54 26.21 -0.32
Libertarian Party UK 23.14 23.33 0.19
Liberal Democrats 10.53 11.48 0.68
Democratic Reformist Front 4.94 4.34 -0.60
The People's Movement 3.40 3.89 0.49
People's Unity Party 1.65 2.02 0.37
Other 1.00 1.27 0.27

Explanatory notes:

  • With the dissolution of the NUP, and the merger of the Greens, there was some polling to go round today for the parties who capitalised on it.
  • In general, activity was somewhat down across the board, which can presumably be attributed to the big diversion of devo elections - this was most noticeable in an activity drop in Labour and the Tories, but also a drop in LPUK to a lesser extent.
  • While activity was down, and press/politicking was fairly dull this week, it was made up for by some nice quality legislation from all 4 of the largest parties - well done to them all.
  • DRF still conspicuously absent from the political scene - try as Gregor might, one leader does not a party make, especially not a major one. The freefall is a bit slower this week than their drop last week, but it's still a big drop - and something drastic needs to change if they want to hang on to their major party status...
  • Particular congrats to TPM and the LDs who both pulled out great weeks all round in a polling period which was poorer for most parties - you've been rewarded!
  • PUP I've noticed have now had several active members for a couple of months, and have just broken 2% polling for the first time... watch out for an update.

Questions, concerns and feedback welcomed as ever.

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