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Stormont Opinion Polling - Early February 2020
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A poll for BBC News Northern Ireland asked 1001 Electors the following question on the 12th of February 2020:

At the next Northern Ireland Assembly General Election, which party will you vote for with your 1st preference vote?

The polling has a 3% margin of error.


Ulster Unionist Party: 29.24% (-1.26%)

Alliance Party of Northern Ireland: 21.88% (-2.78%)

Labour Party in Northern Ireland: 19.50% ( 0.59%)

Irish Parliamentary Party (including RNI): 13.39% (-1.98%)

Democratic Unionist Party: 12.58% ( 1.38%)

Saor Ó Chaipitleachais: 1.34% (New entry)

/u/SoSaturnistic: 1.15% (New entry)

Irish Libertarian Party: 0.81%% ( 0.11%)


Explanations

  • UUP and Alliance both underachieving in activity based off current polling. More activity needed to stem the losses

  • Good activity from LPNI and DUP, nice spread of members from both.

  • Extremely low activity from IPP, big improvement needed if they are to maintain/gain, especially with growing smaller parties.

  • Saor Ó Chapitleachas and ILP both benefiting from being smaller, however both will find it difficult to grow without more activity and members.

  • Great activity from our new independent, /u/SoSaturnistic , keep up the good work!

The lack of submitted legislation is something all parties should look at, as its a great way to influence voters and polling.


Any other queries, feel free to ask in a comment below!

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The Most Hon. Marquess of Newry Estoban06 | Devolved Speaker

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