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National Opinion Polling - 12th September
Post Body
Question: If the General Election were held today, who would you vote for?
polls conducted between the 5th September and the 11th September
| Party | % | % | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 26.79% | 27.82% | 1.04% | |
| Labour Party | 21.18% | 21.27% | 0.09% | |
| Libertarian Party UK | 15.16% | 15.90% | 0.74% | |
| Classical Liberals | 14.70% | 14.72% | 0.02% | |
| Liberal Democrats | 7.02% | 7.23% | 0.21% | |
| Social Democratic Party | 5.62% | 3.35% | -2.27% | |
| Democratic Reformist Front | 1.87% | 1.92% | 0.05% | Up 1 |
| The People's Movement | 1.97% | 1.89% | -0.08% | Down 1 |
| Loyalist League | 1.55% | 1.67% | 0.12% | |
| Monster Raving Loony Party | 1.05% | 1.01% | -0.04% | |
| New Britain | 0.75% | 0.73% | -0.02% | Up 1 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.84% | 0.70% | -0.13% | Down 1 |
| Irish Parliamentary Party | 0.58% | 0.62% | 0.04% | |
| Scottish Greens | 0.44% | 0.49% | 0.05% | |
| Phoenix Committee | 0.26% | 0.35% | 0.08% | |
| Páirtà na nOibrithe | 0.23% | 0.32% | 0.09% |
Explainer Notes
- SDP fell (due to losing half of their MPs/Leader etc) by a lot which meant that there was a lot of percentage for everyone else to pick up. This was mostly gained by the Conservative Party and the Libertarian Party UK because of a bad week for the government (and a good week activity wise for those two) but other government parties including the Liberal Democrats picked up some as well. DRF and TPM are somewhat maxing out at around 2% because of their activity/member levels which is fine - they're small parties and that's fine. That said, I am informed TPM did some stuff towards the latter half of this week so to clarify that will be in next weeks polls. Other than that, PHO, PNO and IPP are doing ok but as I said growth will be slow - a couple more weeks on current trajectory and they should be around 1% which will be 'seat territory' at the GE which I assume is the plan.
- No regional breakdown this week because I messed the sheet up with the SDP going and am not reverting it just to do one week.
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