Question: If the General Election were held today, who would you vote for?

polls conducted between the 25th July and 29th July

Notes on polling:

• We are using the new method (same as the last poll) of generating the margin of error - Gaussian random numbers using this generator - the margin of error is generated using a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 1 (the results are around the same as before - slightly smaller than the old 3% range)
• This polling is for the date range specified, that means that if some recent events will not have been included in this, they will be included in the next set of polls
• Any complaints about the polls are probably due to the above two points, so please don't launch us with questions like "why has x party not fallen/risen?" or "but x party did this last week, why haven't we done really well?" because I will just point you to this thread

Explainer Notes

• Main thing worth speaking about is the Liberal Democrats - they were doing well until MQs where they didn't show out as much as the other parties and ultimately they fell again. Improve in MQs and should make it up easy in future. This applies to many parties too, especially the smaller ones like Greens and Loyalist League.
• Plaid continues their slow end to the term - it's not as bad as it looks, but if you disappear you disappear!
• There was a slight error with how I calculated the independents - this has been corrected and is the reason for the fall (in reality they are up very minorly.