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Assuming UT, ISU, WVU, and OU win the games they should win (UT vs Kansas, OU, vs Kansas, and ISU vs Kansas State), three games will decide the regular season standings for the Big 12 and the participants in the championship game - UT vs ISU, WVU-OU, and WVU-OSU. Since Texas is still in it, I thought people might appreciate a breakdown of the plausible scenarios and results. Disclaimer: The tiebreakers are not simple, so I might have missed something. I did this to procrastinate on my homework, so I might not respond for a while.
Observations: UT is in 3/4 scenarios if we win out. OU only plays WVU in 2/8 scenarios. ISU and UT fans should root hard for OSU next weekend.
| Game | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU-OU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | OU | OU | OU | OU |
| UT-ISU | UT | ISU | UT | ISU | UT | ISU | UT | ISU |
| WVU-OSU | WVU | WVU | OSU | OSU | WVU | WVU | OSU | OSU |
| Conference Records | ||||||||
| OU | 7-2 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 8-1 | 8-1 | 8-1 | 8-1 |
| WVU | 8-1 | 8-1 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| UT | 7-2 | 6-3 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| ISU | 6-3 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 7-2 |
| Standings | ||||||||
| 1 | WVU | WVU | WVU | ISU | OU | OU | OU | OU |
| 2 | UT | OU | UT | WVU | WVU | ISU | UT | ISU |
| 3 | OU | ISU | OU | OU | UT | WVU | ISU | WVU |
| 4 | ISU | UT | ISU | UT | ISU | UT | WVU | UT |
| Notes | UT owns head-head tiebreaker with OU | OU owns h2h over ISU | Mini-round robin: WVU 2-0, UT 1-1, OU 0-2 | WVU and ISU own tiebreaker because OU lost to UT | WVU owns h2h over UT | ISU owns h2h over WVU | Obvious | Obvious |
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