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A paper by Antonio Gelis-Filho recently said that the reason for the Great Silence, is that there is a universal limit to technological development for all civilizations, and humans have reached it, meaning there is no way to travel interstellar. Normally, I would dismiss such claims as "giving up due to impatience" but I see articles mentioning the paper everywhere so I was wondering if anyone could weigh in on this
Isaac used to be of the opinion that science and technological progression has an endpoint, but in the episode Post-Science Civilizations, he has somewhat reversed that idea.
Likewise, science writer John Horgan made a whole career of it, publishing The End of Science in the 90's and then completely changed his mind by 2017ish.
I think Antonio is just impatient. Yes, we aren't progressing as fast as we once did, but who said technological development was consistent?! Maybe it comes in spurts like natural growth.
Also I get that some experiments are currently infeasible due to resources and energy, but if one thing is for sure, we are always good at finding short-cuts.
Also, my personal belief is that tech and science can't end because as long as people ask questions and want to build cool stuff, it will continue.
Thoughts? Do you have any compelling arguments for OR against this so-called ULTD?
Here is a link to the paper for all who are interested Is there a universal limit to technological development? Evidences from astrobiology - ScienceDirect
I think this is a problem of increasingly less functional academia with a system that provides perverse incentives.
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