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Reality of the Law of Large Numbers
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I was trying to think over why the law of large numbers does not seem to work with jobs or dating and usually it is because it is a multi round affair. In the olden days there was less leetcoding, take homes, options etc. but in today's world most things are multiround and so to expect one level results when it is usually multi layered is kind of stupid now that I think of it, but it is depressing too. When you look at the average of 3% for accepting the first round of something, that is usually 3. 3% of that in the next round is 0.09. in order to get to 1 (chance of snagging just one person, one job, etc), you need over 1000 leads, approaches, etc. . Now if there is a better way I am not seeing , I am game, but it does seem like outside marginal things like improving yourself and the like you are stuck with this average. Any thoughts?

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1 month ago