Memorandum Regarding the Chinese Intervention In Myanmar

The Chinese intervention in Myanmar presents a potentially existential threat to Vietnam. Cambodia, Thailand, and Laos have all fallen under Chinese influence to a degree that poses a major threat to Vietnam. The final integration of the Burmese military-junta into this Chinese system will leave them only with Vietnam to deal with on the mainland; and we cannot count on the maritimes for much, nor Russia or the Americans.

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As a result, it has been concluded by top level party officials that it is decidedly in Vietnam's interests to keep the Myanmar conflict simmering; and it is hoped that the strategy of guerilla resistance pursued by the rebel forces will keep the Chinese distracted and occupied, if not drive them out entirely, as they did in Vietnam. Whole-of-government actions will be devoted to ensuring that the conflict remains active, if not pursuing an actual rebel victory.

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However it should be noted that it is important to do so discreetly and quietly. To do so loudly and openly would alarm not only the Chinese, whom it would be unwise to deliberately antagonize, but also the Thais and others. As all actions in Southeast Asia must go, these must be quiet, shadowy, and only spoken of in hushed, polite tones. Relevant military, diplomatic and party officials should prepare plans on this matter.

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Memorandum Regarding Armaments Shipments To The Burmese Resistance

1. Methodology. Primary method of delivery will be light aircraft or drone, which will depart from Vietnam, transit Laos at low altitude undetected, then cross into Burma through Shan State or northern Thailand, using the rugged terrain to conceal themselves. They will then either land or airdrop weapons.
2. Cover. Pilots will be civilians or sheepdipped, and will usually carry drugs back with them if possible, to further their posing as private arms smugglers, which Southeast Asia has plenty of. Aircraft will be acquired through shell companies, mostly abroad--Cessna Caravans, a common utility cargo aircraft--and operated out of hardened shelters at VPAF bases to avoid detection via satellite. Furthermore, an entirely civil company using similar aircraft has been funded by the military to conduct airmail and courier services within Vietnam, providing additional cover.
3. Destination. Primary destination will be the Karenni resistance, including the KNDF, Karenni Army, etc. while some will also flow to Karen National Liberation Army and the Restoration Council of Shan State, with the expectation being that the PDF/democratic resistance will also receive some of the spoils, especially with the benefits of urban MANPADs attacks.
4. Types of Weapon Shipped. Due to weight and size constraints [around 500kg per flight], weapons will focus on high-value assets. All weapon types will be in service with the Tatmadaw and plausibly obtained locally, with distinguishing marks removed, or otherwise from the US/ROV and hence may have proliferated out over the last 50 years. Exact weapons are listed below:

• 9K38 Igla MANPADS [25 per flight]
• M40 recoilless rifle 25 rounds ammunition, OR 50 rounds ammunition
• M72 LAW [200]
• 9K111 Fagot launchers, 6 per flight plus 24 missiles [may be mixed with Konkurs]
• M1943 120mm mortar "SAMOVAR" 12 120mm mortar rounds or 25 120mm mortar rounds

It is likely in the near future that this will broaden as Vietnam acquires newer, more modern weapons systems that will prove more useful for people's war.