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[GL Gacha/Survey Megathread] Festival of Love
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Festival of Love

Meta or not, I know a lot of you will be pulling on this one because of... well, dog. And meanwhile in Gumi HQ they're smacking their foreheads for taking this long to realize all they needed a dog unit to open people's wallets. Which makes me think we'll have 5*-based Interceptor before we ever get a 5*-capable Shadow. (This is the part where I remind you that you only have a 0.5% chance of pulling Chow on a ticket. Please pull responsibly.)

Anyway, it's a generally strong (if not game-breaking) banner all round. If you don't already have Rikku then I highly recommend pulling for Yan, as she's the only 4* on the banner (which is rare these days), meaning you get a whopping 47.5% chance to pull her if you have any guaranteed 4* tickets hoarded. If you're pulling for Yan or Ang or the doggo then consider contributing to the survey to help us track Gumi's rates!

As usual, feel free to post your cheers and salt in the comments. (But if you want your pulls to be included in the survey, you need to submit screenshots by email.)

Summon Survey

Please read the instructions online if you are new to this.

Type of pull Address
10 1 pull [email protected]
Single ticket [email protected]
Guaranteed 4* ticket summon [email protected]
Daily pull summon [email protected]

For more information on the different options you can use to send in your pulls (including how to bundle up multiple pulls if you're spending a lot of tickets), check out the instructions.

This system is updated each week to handle new units and better cope with the idiosyncrasies of each device and screenshot, and as in any living project mistakes can occur. Make sure to verify the results of the pull you get, and if there's a mistake please forward the response email to [email protected].

Results

Link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gsbqVm5YUbzI5Hst6F13KWn9F9djuhLbslfRK4Bz6u0/edit?usp=sharing

Banner

Pull rates are estimated only; that's why we do the survey! Know your odds before pulling.

Unit Name Wiki Origin Rarity Trust Mastery Ticket Guaranteed 4★ 10 1
Chow WikiReddit FFBE 5-6★ [Accessory] Lucky IngotHP 888, MP 88Grants 'Lucky Ingot' passive. 0.5% 1.87% 6.67%
Ang WikiReddit FFBE 5-6★ [Bow] Sun BreakerATK 145Grants 'Bird Killer' passive.Grants 'Dragon Killer' passive. 0.5% 1.87% 6.67%
Yan WikiReddit FFBE 4-6★ [Light Shield] Lunar ParasolDEF 24, SPR 58, 100% resist Silence/Confusion/PetrifyGrants 'MP 30%' passive.Grants 'Auto-Regen' passive. 4.75% 47.5% 67.7%
Yuri WikiReddit FFBE 3-6★ [Materia] High SpiritsIncrease ATK and MAG by 20%. 19.5% n/a 89.2%

FQA

Why do surveys?

Alim publishes the rates for individual units on the JP version of the game, but Gumi only publishes the rates for rarity of drops on GL. We think we have a good idea of approximately where the more specific rates are but the only way to know with any amount of confidence is to collect a statistically significant sampling of data and analyze it for ourselves. We already know that Gumi has historically given us lower rates than JP, but they don't like to admit it. Furthermore, by keeping specific rates a secret Gumi maintains the ability to change the rates on any banner whenever they see fit to do so, so if they won't give us transparency it's important we keep up the effort on our end to at least hold them accountable.

Doesn't Gumi already publish their rates?

As of the January 25, 2018 update Gumi began publishing drop rates within the app, ostensibly to comply with Apple's requirement for apps with loot boxes to disclose their rates. They only disclose the drop rates for rarities, however, not their on-banner rates or the rates of individual units within the banner.

Hopefully Gumi will eventually publish their on-banner rates as well. Until they do, however, an extremely large and important part of their gambling mechanic remains concealed from us.

What are the rates, exactly?

The rates as known are posted here: https://exvius.gamepedia.com/Summon

Also be sure to check the Oddsbitch to know your chances of getting the units you want with the resources you have.

How do I participate?

Please read these instructions first. Take a screenshot or use the built-in Share button whenever you summon on the banner, every time. Then send those screenshots to the appropriate email listed above. You will receive a response listing the units you pulled, and your information will be aggregated with everyone else's. (In the future, you'll be able to view and edit your information, too, so you can keep track of how your pulls compare with the rest of the community's.)

Please commit to reporting all of your pulls, not just the memorable ones. That's the only way we can get meaningful results.

How do I submit 10 1 tickets and EX tickets?

You can submit EX tickets and 10 1 tickets by adding ex to the address you submit to. Note that these will not be counted towards the banner, although they will be useful in tracking the rates in general.

Here is a summary of email addresses you can use for off-banner pulls:

Type of pull Address
10 1 ticket summon [email protected]
EX 3* ticket summon [email protected]
EX 4* ticket summon ex [email protected]
EX 5* ticket summon [email protected]

(The ex is optional on pulls that are required to be bannerless, i.e. the 10 1 ticket and the 5* ticket.)

I don't want to do screenshots. Can I submit by text?

I am evaluating options to do this, but there are several reasons I'm committing hard to this new method:

  • It's much more difficult for people to troll the results (something we got all the time on the old surveys), and far easier for me to detect and ban people who do.
  • It's much easier for most people to submit their pulls without missing or forgetting any. Simply screenshot as you go, and then send them in an email when it's convenient.
  • 10 1 pulls are easier for most people, and these are where we get our largest set of data from.
  • Ultimately, we are already getting far more accurate data than we ever did under the old system, and that's hard to argue with.

Long story short: screenshots result in better data, and I am reluctant to dilute that quality with text entries. (Although I do want to add support for individual corrections.)

I miss the old way of doing surveys.

I'm sorry.

I got an email back and it lists the wrong units!

First of all, you can reply to that email to cancel your submission.

Second of all, make sure you've followed all of the instructions carefully and correctly. There isn't room for error or creativity in how you submit to this system.

If you didn't make a mistake, you can forward your email to [email protected] and I promise I will get around to looking at it.

Previous Survey Links

Older survey history thread, courtesy of SteamBoy27

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