Since we don't yet have our new Playoff 4, I'm just going to take the rankings from last week and shift everyone up one spot - assuming that Miss State falls below the one-loss teams. That leaves the following, undefeated and one-loss teams:

1. Alabama - this week versus Mizzou.
   
2. Oregon - this week versus Arizona
3. Florida State - this week versus Georgia Tech
4. TCU - this week versus Iowa State
5. Ohio State - this week versus Wisconsin
6. Baylor - this week versus Kansas State

Of those six, I feel the two most likely to lose based on recent events are Ohio State and Baylor (although I am sad to admit that) which would eliminate them from the running. But would that be enough to propel Wisconsin or Kansas State in their place?

Next I believe everyone thinks that Florida State is the next weakest of the remaining six, but I disagree. I think Georgia Tech is going to have a letdown after the Georgia win and Florida State feels it needs to win to stay in. (That said, if the defending national champ goes undefeated, I think they should be in. Period. Full Stop.)

That leaves Alabama and Oregon. If the SEC and PAC12 have shown us anything, its that crazier things have happened.

So what does it take for each team to get in? Here's my thoughts:

• Alabama, Oregon, Florida State - Just win. I don't think anything Ohio State or Baylor could do, short of running up 100 on their opponents and revealing themselves to be lead by Jesus Christ himself would let them jump into the top 3. So really, just win.

• TCU - Win and pray Baylor or Ohio State don't do something spectacular. And especially pray Baylor loses. I still think if Baylor wins (with an Ohio State loss) its going to be difficult to take TCU over Baylor.

• Ohio State, Baylor - Win and pray for chaos. I have a hard time thinking that the committee would take a 2-loss team over a 1-loss team, even if it were Alabama. More likely would be an Oregon and Florida State loss.

Which brings me to that very thing - what if there are multiple losses in the Top 6? Obviously someone in the Top 4 losing means they fall out, but what if, God-forbid, we have loses by Oregon, Florida State and Baylor/Ohio State? I think that's the scenario Michigan State desperately needs to get in, although then let the debate rage between the higher-ranked, non-conference champion and the conference champion. And if Ohio State loses as well, then I think it'll be a toss-up between Kansas State, Arizona, and Wisconsin.