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"If it's the four best, then why do we play the games?... I look at the idea of an an undefeated power 5 team being left out as an absolute travesty." - @GregMcElroy 4 days ago
https://x.com/tj_pittinger/status/1731860545102352836?s=46&t=wrovJ5hkyjF8c8Nl5dqn1g
The idea that the four best teams aren’t determined by how they play in the games is asinine. Sure, it doesn’t just look at wins and losses, but it is absolutely derived from on-field performance in areas useful for predicting future performance. We’re pretty good at knowing who will be good before the season, yes, but we get a lot better as we gather more data on the field.
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People think the best teams are an immutable fact of nature and not something we learn about more and more every week. In Bayesian terms, sometimes our priors are right, , but they’re definitely more accurate after 13 updates.
Anyone who says things like this should be forced to place bets according to preseason polls