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In reading 33, p34, example 3, whose solution states this
"Given that both alternative debt and hedge funds have higher projected long- term returns than traditional debt and equities, respectively, the discount rate applied to LSPP’s liabilities can be increased, thereby reducing their present value."
How does this make sense? The example suggests allocating less to equities and fixed income and more to Alt Investment - which changes the discount rate of pension assets. But why does the curriculum state this also changes the discount rate of pension liabilities?
Shouldn't pension liabilities strictly be discounted by rates affecting retirement benefits payments? i.e. salary growth during active employment and inflation expectations? And have nothing to do with asset allocation?
UPDATE Nov 23, 2020
Found the answer to my own question:
reading 33, p19,
"In the United States, private and corporate DB pension plans may discount liabilities at
rates based on high- grade bond yields averaged over 25 years."
"US public DB pension plans use actuarial discount rates which, as required by the US
Governmental Accounting Standards Board (GASB), are based on the expected return
of the pension plan asset portfolio. These are typically far higher than bond rates. The
higher discount rates lower their liabilities and raise their funded status. However, this
may cause such pension plans to potentially make inadequate plan contributions and take
on excessive risk by investing heavily in equities and alternatives in hope of generating
an expected rate of return that supports the high discount rate."
US Private DBP uses Liability discount rate = high grade bond yields (avg)
US Public DBP uses Liability discount rate = expected returned on assets.
So US public DBP managers, just go 100% bitcoin, and your pension funding ratio will be over 9000! What a crazy world we live in.
Here is your 'real world answer', though I agree the only thing that matters is what CFAI says it is:
"...CalPERS uses the routine practice of discounting, which all financial institutions use and is based on the principle that money is worth more today than in the future. It requires the selection of an appropriate discount rate. CalPERS uses its target return on investment of 7 percent as its discount rate — a practice flatly rejected by financial economists, because 7 percent is associated with a high degree of risk, and CalPERS’s pensions are risk free. Economists say that CalPERS, and other public pension systems, should be using the rate associated with risk-free bonds like U.S. Treasury bonds. Doing it that way shows the tremendous intrinsic value of risk-free retirement income."
https://nyti.ms/37kb8Cj
Just part of the saga of California's pension woes.
I agree with you Abbot- and elsewhere in the curriculum it specifically says to not make this exact mistake. Though I would never be bale to find that line again. Good catch.
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This is fascinating- thank you!