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'tis the damn polling asked approximately 1000 voters in each electorate as to what candidate they are most likely to give their first preference to in the House of Representatives, and which party they are most likely to give their first preference to in the Senate.
A severe caveat: These are not set in stone. Just because you are behind here, does not mean you can't win. Campaigning will change these polls. You can't win if you don't try.
House of Representatives
New South Wales
Cowper
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| blueknight2004 | Social Democrats | 36% |
| Flarelia | Country Labor | 23% |
| unorthodoxambassador | The Greens | 22% |
| model-willem | Liberal Party | 20% |
Cunningham
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| Rohanite272 | Social Democrats | 35% |
| Plupsnup | Country Labor | 22% |
| MLastCelebration | Liberal Party | 21% |
| DarceMan | The Greens | 21% |
Robertson
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| model-vivienne | The Greens | 35% |
| UncookedMeatloaf | Country Labor | 34% |
| Sephronar | Liberal Party | 31% |
Sydney
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| model-elleeit | The Greens | 69% |
| Saberracer02 | Liberal Party | 31% |
Victoria
Hotham
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| fvbps | The Greens | 48% |
| Randy176 | Liberal Party | 31% |
| SprinklyDinks | Independent | 20% |
Melbourne
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| TheTrashMan_10 | The Greens | 80% |
| Chi0121 | Liberal Party | 20% |
Nicholls
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| model-kyosanto | The Greens | 46% |
| model-frod | Country Labor | 24% |
| model-putrid | Independent | 22% |
| umatbru | Liberal Party | 7% |
Queensland
Brisbane
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| 12MaxWild | Liberal Party | 63% |
| Parado-I | The Greens | 22% |
| Frost_Walker2017 | Independent | 15% |
Capricornia
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| ARichTeaBiscuit | Social Democrats | 35% |
| RMSteve | Independent | 35% |
| thonkswill | Liberal Party | 10% |
| DailyWaffles | Country Labor | 10% |
| model-avery | The Greens | 9% |
Moncrieff
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| Riley8583 | Liberal Party | 47% |
| tbyrn21 | Independent | 37% |
| Lady_Aya | Country Labor | 9% |
| purplewave_ | The Greens | 8% |
Western Australia
Pearce
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| NGSpy | Social Democrats | 69% |
| chainchompsky1 | The Greens | 11% |
| Brown_Dog23 | Liberal Party | 11% |
| Charlemagne108 | Country Labor | 10% |
South Australia
Mayo
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| cocoiadrop | Social Democrats | 54% |
| cool_santa | Country Labor | 17% |
| superpacman04 | Liberal Party | 15% |
| motelblinds | The Greens | 13% |
Tasmania
Denison
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| PuzzledWaste | The Greens | 59% |
| artemisjasper | Country Labor | 23% |
| cchap88 | Liberal Party | 18% |
Australian Capital Territory
Canberra
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| TheSensibleCentre | Independent | 50% |
| Youmaton | Independent | 31% |
| BryantMP | Liberal Party | 19% |
Northern Territory
Lingiari
| Candidate | Party | % |
|---|---|---|
| BestinBounds | Country Labor | 43% |
| JosephB2002 | Independent | 38% |
| Adithyansoccer | Liberal Party | 19% |
Senate
| Party | % |
|---|---|
| Country Labor | 38% |
| The Greens | 35% |
| Liberal Party | 15% |
| Social Democrats | 12% |
| TAP | 0.2% |
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