| Jaguars |
over |
Jets |
This should be an surprisingly good game considering the improvement for both teams. The Jags have won four of their last six, with Lawrence grabbing 14 TDs and one INT in that time. Staying with the hot QB. |
| Bills |
over |
Bears |
The Bills are heavy favorites at home this week. Fields will make a few plays, but the defense is not producing turnovers which will hold the Bills up front. Allen will keep Buffalo in the No. 1 seed in the AFC. |
| Browns |
over |
Saints |
The Saints are still in the hunt by sweeping the Falcons last week along with every other NFC South team losing. Cleveland is going to be extremely cold on Christmas Eve due to Elliott. NOLA has not fared well against AFC North teams this season and Dalton will need to face the Browns one more time to keep the hope alive. |
| Titans |
over |
Texans |
The Titans are working through some issues round a banged-up Tannehill. But Henry hasn't let them down with his power running and good receiving. The Texans will get worn down in a physical division game. |
| Chiefs |
over |
Seahawks |
Seattle lost three of four games since the bye, with the defense giving up 28.5 PPG. KC escaped Houston with a victory and are happy to be back at home after a three-game road tour. KC could get some Elliott love as well, so expect a cold one. |
| Vikings |
over |
Giants |
No Elliot rage here since Minnesota has a covered stadium. Nothing exudes confidence like overcoming a 33-point deficit and winning in OT, and they'll capitalize on that this week by making plays with Cook and Jefferson. |
| Bengals |
over |
Patriots |
The Bengals are looking good with six straight wins, and the defense has allowed just 88.3 rushing YPG. Can the Patriots get to Burrow with 14 TDs and just four INTs in that winning streak? The Bengals keep rolling. |
| Lions |
over |
Panthers |
The Lions are this season’s Cinderella story after winning five of six. Carolina is 4-3 at home and still in the NFC South hunt at 5-9. Detroit is 5-0 when it allows less than 100 yards rushing, and that’s happened the last three weeks. |
| Ravens |
over |
Falcons |
The Ravens need Lamar back, which could happen this week. I'm picking Baltimore to bounce back and the defense harasses Ridder in his second start. |
| 49ers |
over |
Commanders |
All aboard the Purdy train! With the 49ers defense always on point and now a confident rookie QB, it's hard to pick against them. Washington better take advantage of every opportunity to have a chance. |
| Eagles |
over |
Cowboys |
The Eagles can win the division by taking this game and get closer to locking up No. 1. Hurts has more weapons and a good running game to outduel Dak. |
| Steelers |
over |
Raiders |
The Raiders are facing a harder Steelers' defense with Watt back. Pittsburgh is trying to salvage another winning season under Tomlin. The Raiders are less reliable on the road and the Steelers should grind this out late with Harris outrushing Jacobs. |
| Packers |
over |
Dolphins |
My upset pick this week. Green Bay avoids the Elliott onslaught by being on the road this week. Packers' defense is bad against the run, but the Dolphins are inconsistent running it. Rodgers will outduel Tua and keep their playoff hopes alive. |
| Rams |
over |
Broncos |
Likewise, Denver will be avoiding Elliott rage. The Rams' defense is fighting and playing hard despite the QB mess. Russell should be returning for this game. Baker should be able to do something with this messy game and L.A.'s coaching edge should give Hackett some humbugs. |
| Buccaneers |
over |
Cardinals |
Tompa Bay has lost three of the last four and they lost their last four road games. Tom needs to play better, so he'll be given a Christmas gift against Arizona in a close one. |
| Chargers |
over |
Colts |
How do you recover from choking a 33-point lead? You don't, at least not the next week. The Chargers are heating up with healthy receivers Allen and Williams, who have averaged 170.5 receiving yards the last two weeks. |