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Saw a post on $RMTI here yesterday and did some digging myself. This is one of the most assymetric bets I’ve seen and I believe we are on the cusp of breakout. The play is simple:
Price growth and margin expansion, which are essentially programmed into their contracts, are not being priced into the stock
This is due to concerns of contract expiry with major customer DaVita; but chances are DaVita will renew their contracts as they own a stake in RMTI, DaVita has bad blood with the only other alternative, Fresenius, so they have no choice but to renew RMTI’s contract
Monthly reported sales run-rate was $10m in July, yet street only expects $26.5m sales for Q3. Street is likely also lowballing margin forecasts, expecting it to be flat/down. This is highly unlikely since contracted price hikes provide operating leverage and sequentially margin expansion. From this alone, they could easily beat estimates by 15-20%
Tomorrow’s earnings will likely be a major catalyst: expecting a huge beat on sales and earnings announcements of contract renewals announcements of new contracts management discussion of new high-margin product line
Even without any multiple expansion, RMTI could hit north of ~$7 quickly and head towards $8-9 within a year. Slamming the table on this one, just got in at $4.75.
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