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Ray Kurzweil believes humanity will achieve longevity escape velocity around 2029
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Yeah he's emblematic of the issues I have with most futurists.

It's either highly politicized doomerism or raw fantabulist nonsense. Or misanthropic optimism a la David Pearce.

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10 months

The COVID vaccine is a bad example because it was created using technology that'd been cooking for a decade but just hadn't been given clearance for human trials yet. The vast majority of drug development is testing and approval processes.

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